{"id":4450,"date":"2014-01-30T16:09:24","date_gmt":"2014-01-30T22:09:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kabt.org\/?p=4450"},"modified":"2014-01-30T16:54:44","modified_gmt":"2014-01-30T22:54:44","slug":"day-47-48-im-95-confident-freshman-can-do-statistics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kabt.org\/?p=4450","title":{"rendered":"Day 47-48: I&#8217;m 95% Confident Freshman Can Do Statistics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Back again for fun and frivolity.<\/p>\n<p>Monday, my students were examining their mounted slides (<a href=\"http:\/\/adastraperdoctrina.wordpress.com\/2014\/01\/20\/day-35-38-counting-is-hard\/\">made previously<\/a>) of their embryos from their\u00a0<em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<em>cyoYFP\u00a0<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>x<em><em><em><em><em><em>\u00a0<em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<em>cyoYFP\u00a0<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>cross. They were collecting data on how many of their embryos died (obviously before we bleached and mounted them) and how many survived. This was a test to see if they saw 25% or 50% of their offspring die as embryos, which they were thinking would happen in the\u00a0<em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><em>Tep3\u00a0<\/em>and\u00a0<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\/<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\u00a0<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>individuals. The 25% would come from just the\u00a0<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\/<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>\u00a0dying and the 50% would be if the\u00a0<em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><em>Tep3\u00a0<\/em>were dying too, along with the\u00a0<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\/<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>\u00a0individuals; the other 50% surviving would be from the\u00a0<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<em>cyoYFP\u00a0<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>individuals. So students took to their microscopes and recorded their data in a table, seen below:<\/p>\n<table width=\"561\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<col width=\"64\" \/>\n<col width=\"75\" \/>\n<col width=\"136\" \/>\n<col width=\"75\" \/>\n<col width=\"126\" \/>\n<col width=\"85\" \/>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"64\" height=\"19\">Individual<\/td>\n<td width=\"75\">A\/P Normal<\/td>\n<td width=\"136\">Denticle Belts Present<\/td>\n<td width=\"75\">Early Lethal<\/td>\n<td width=\"126\">Notes<\/td>\n<td width=\"85\">Slide Number:<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\" height=\"19\">1<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Date:<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\" height=\"19\">2<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Scored by:<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\" height=\"19\">3<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\" height=\"19\">4<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\" height=\"19\">5<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The A\/P normal refers to organisms the appeared to have normal development of anterior and posterior portions, a first step for determining lethality. Then they checked for denticle belts (see Figure A and B below) which are easily seen in developmentally normal\u00a0<em>Drosophila<\/em>\u00a0and could also determine defects. The early lethal column was where students determined if after those 2 checkpoints if the embryos were dead before mounting. Those organisms looked like opaque embryos (compared to dark) and did not display normal signs of A\/P or denticle belt development (such as Figures C-J below).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/genesdev.cshlp.org\/content\/14\/5\/604\/F5.large.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/genesdev.cshlp.org\/content\/14\/5\/604\/F5.large.jpg\" width=\"907\" height=\"767\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>After they determined this we created a class-wide spreadsheet that students imputed the number of alive vs. dead embryos they started with\/counted. That was Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Then Monday night I got a weird idea&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;what if I tried teaching my freshman some statistics?*<\/p>\n<p>Obviously our question from Monday, &#8220;Are 25% or 50% of our embryos dying?&#8221; begged for some statistics, and pretty common ones too. We have data of how many embryos lived or died and we have a question that asks do our results closely match 25% or 50% lethality? Is our 35% close enough to 25% or 50%? (There were differing opinions in the room: talk about entry points, they needed no help randomly suggesting whether they felt 10% or 15% off from a value was of significance to them) I then said we have a test to determine significance in our data. We need Chi-Square!** (At this point, I would like to acknowledge, that given time I would have loved to run through Brad&#8217;s chi-square excel model with them [check the AP Discussion Board], but we did not have the chance. Maybe later. That was just a plug for a great student exercise)<\/p>\n<p>So, I presented the problem to them again, this time with our data. (Let&#8217;s say 350 dead out of 1,000 embryos just as an example) I asked them if 50% were dying due to the\u00a0<em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><em>Tep3\u00a0<\/em>and\u00a0<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\/<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\u00a0<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>mutation, how many of the 1,000 embryos would we expect to be dead? Of course, 500. Then I asked, &#8220;Ok, how off or &#8220;different&#8221; from that 500 are we for both the dead and alive organisms?&#8221; At this point I told them it might be easiest to set up a table. So they set up a table with a 3 rows and initially 3 columns. Eventually, they created this.<\/p>\n<table width=\"659\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<col width=\"67\" \/>\n<col width=\"83\" \/>\n<col width=\"82\" \/>\n<col width=\"110\" \/>\n<col width=\"118\" \/>\n<col width=\"109\" \/>\n<col width=\"90\" \/>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"67\" height=\"19\">Outcomes<\/td>\n<td width=\"83\">Observed (O)<\/td>\n<td width=\"82\">Expected (e)<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\">o-e<\/td>\n<td width=\"118\">(o-e)^2<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">(o-e)^2)<\/td>\n<td width=\"90\">(o-e)^2)\/e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"19\">Alive<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"19\">Dead<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>They knew observed and expected pretty easily and finding the difference between the two. Because this gives them negative values I asked them are we looking for magnitude of difference or general significant vs. non-significant? Again, we decided negative values aren&#8217;t telling us too much, so I introduce the squaring idea. We then divide by e (I had no idea how to explain this principle to students. I think e is also variance squared but this concept would destroy their minds, so I&#8217;m not sure how much of a disfavor I did to students by not explaining this)<\/p>\n<p>Either way, we got significant results for both the 50% and 25% (Yes, I made some students who didn&#8217;t pass out do both***) which told us that our data was not close enough to 25% or 50% to be just random coincidence. Something else is at play in our research. We know\u00a0<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\/<em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em><em>cyoYFP\u00a0<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em>individuals die, because inheriting two balancer chromosomes is lethal. So what&#8217;s up with our\u00a0<em><em><em><em>Tep3<em><em>\/<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><em>Tep3\u00a0<\/em>mutation? Apparently, it is causing death in embryos, but not all, and larva, but not all.<\/p>\n<p>Interesting&#8230;sounds like an experiment.<\/p>\n<p>*Turns out if you Google &#8220;teaching freshman statistics&#8221; you get a bunch of college results back. Changing it to &#8220;teaching high school freshman statistics&#8221; only gave me more college results. Google never listens to me.<\/p>\n<p>**They reacted something like this:<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.reactiongifs.us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/cheering_minions.gif\" width=\"500\" height=\"226\" \/><\/p>\n<p>***Hey, the ones who did it twice loved it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Back again for fun and frivolity. Monday, my students were examining their mounted slides (made previously) of their embryos from their\u00a0Tep3\/cyoYFP\u00a0x\u00a0Tep3\/cyoYFP\u00a0cross. They were collecting data on how many of their embryos died (obviously before we bleached and mounted them) and how many survived. This was a test to see if they saw 25% or 50%<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.kabt.org\/?p=4450\">+ Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5582,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_s2mail":"yes","_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-labs","category-student-research-ideas"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Back again for fun and frivolity. Monday, my students were examining their mounted slides (made previously) of their embryos from their Tep3\/cyoYFP x Tep3\/cyoYFP cross. 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